2010 - 2011 Navel Orange Forecast

The California Agricultural Statistic Service (CASS) has released the 2010-2011 navel orange forecast.  The initial estimate is 93 million 40 pound carton equivalents, with 90 million cartons forecast in District 1 (the central valley).  Weather conditions and survey results indicate a greater fruit set than past years but with significant smaller sizes.  The fruit set for District 1 is 40% more than last year but the cartons per acre are only up 10%, which indicates many pieces of fruit per carton, i.e..small sizes. 

For the complete report please visit

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Statistics_by_State/California/Publications/Fruits_and_Nuts/201009navom.pdf

This crop will be less than the 2005/06 District 1 crop of 92 million and slightly more than the 2007/08 District 1 crop of 88 million. This past 2009/10 season produced 80 million District 1 cartons.

Another interesting note is these numbers also include cara caras. blood oranges and other which have unofficially been estimated at 3 million cartons.